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Notre Dame Football

Sports Betting 101 | Take Advantage Of Sign-Up Promos

October 5, 2024
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Back again with Week 3 of our new Gambling Blog here on Irish Sports Daily.

Check out previous columns HERE

This is not a Pick Column meant to be an invitation to tail any of these plays. In fact, you probably shouldn’t tail these. And this is DEFINITELY NOT financial advice. 

If the plays listed here were any good when these bets were placed, the number and/or price should have moved by now and the bet is probably no longer good at that new number or price.

If you are still able to find the same bet at the same price when you’re reading this, that’s a sign it may not have been a good bet in the first place.

Then why even write this column? 

My hope is to offer some insight into the processes that led to these picks, which could help you find profitable picks of your own. 

Positive EV Betting is a strategy that involves calculating the Fair Odds for any given game or prop and then finding prices that are more advantageous than those Fair Odds. 

Each week, I’ll share some of the +EV plays that I’m on and then add some basic insight that should be helpful to sports bettors.

First, if you’re looking to get into Sports Gambling, but don’t yet have an account and you’re in a state that has BetMGM, you can sign up through our link. You’ll be able to take advantage of one of the very best promotions in the industry today - $1,500 Paid Back In Bonus Bets if your first bet doesn’t win. 

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We advise you to read all of the terms and conditions of the promotion before signing up and yes, Irish Sports Daily receives a fee from MGM for each customer we refer. If you have any questions, I encourage you to send me a private message. 

TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE SIGN-UP PROMOS

It’s impossible to watch football these days without getting bombarded with gambling promos like the one above. 

They sound too good to be true, right? 

In a sense, sure. 

But as long as you take the time to understand the true terms of the offers, there is no denying their value.

Take the above promo, $1,500 PAID BACK sounds too good to be true.

And it is because that isn’t actually what they’re offering you. 

What they’re offering you is bonus bets equal to your first bet (if it’s a loser) up to $1,500.

You don’t get to simply take your money back and say you took a shot. Instead, you have additional opportunities to try to win it back.

The sportsbook’s play here is obvious. They want to lure players in with some additional cushion, but they’ve already run the numbers and know that a large portion of their players will lose their first bet and the ensuing bonus bets. And a large portion of those who win early, will lose it back and then some eventually.

But not all.

The savvy players are those who realize these promos can be leveraged in ways that guarantee the disciplined player a profit.

Those same potential savvy players likely have access to a tool called Google and if they don’t or have trouble using that too, they can always send me a private message to be pointed in the right direction.

Virtually every sportsbook offers some sort of sign-up bonus. Learn exactly what the offer is first, but there is almost always value in them, so take advantage of them.

Now onto the Picks.

Tough week last week, going 2-6 and coming out $156 in the red, but those weeks are to be expected when using Positive EV strategy.

WEEK 3 PLAYS
 

Risk Play Bet Odds Fair Odds
$60 Tennessee -3.5 1Q -112 -122
$40 Kansas_Ariz. St. 1Q Over 10.5 +116 +109
$20 Northwestern 1Q ML +255 +242
$45 Bills Team Total Over 23.5 -105 -113
$20 James Cook Over 59.5 Rush Yards +105 -102
$15 Cowboys-Steelers Under 35.5 +300 +286
$15 Vanderbilt 1Q ML +390 +370


WEEK 2 PLAYS (2-6, -$156)
 

Risk Play Bet Odds Fair Odds W/L Result
$70 Tusla-N. Texas 1Q Over 14.5 +116 +103 L -$70
$70

WKU-BC Over 52.5

-106 -118 L -$70
$65

Texas St-Sam Houston St. Over 55.5

+100 -111 W +$65
$55 San Diego St. 1Q Moneyline +112 +102 L -$55
$35 Stanford 1Q Moneyline +500 +427 L -$35
$30 BYU 1st Half -0.5 +155 +145 W +$54
$30 Kentucky 1Q Moneyline +340 +308 L -$30
$15 South Alabama Moneyline +400 +381 L -$15


WEEK 1 PLAYS (3-4, +$18)
 

Risk Play Bet Odds Fair Odds W/L Result
$50 UTEP-Colorado St. 1H Under 25.5 -102 -110 W +$49
$50 ASU-Texas Tech 1Q Under 13.5 -102 -110 L -$50
$50 Akron Over 9.5 +140 +127 L -$50
$30 Michigan 1Q Moneyline +154 +145 W +$46
$25 USF 1Q Moneyline +280 +259 L -$25
$25 Purdue -0.5 1H  +175 +165 L -$25
$25 NY Giants Moneyline +290 +269 W +$73
  TOTAL       +$18

DawBets is a platform that helps you identify Fair Odds and bets that are being offered at better than Fair Odds at any given time. You can learn more about DawBets and how it can help you become a profitable bettor here.

We receive referral revenue via signups for BetMGM and DawBets

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